By Fester:
In the past few days, I've been listening to a couple of interesting grape vines which may have been aided by a bottle of excellent Merlot and the grapes are talking about outside group mobilization and targeting efforts by non-coordinating with campaign actors. And it is sounding very interesting.
One liberal leaning group is looking to expand the probable Democratic voter pool by approximately 7% to 8% between May 1 and the general election. This is on top of the current expansion of approximately the same size that the Obama and Clinton campaigns drove in during the primary campaign. The plan is to flush the cities and find every last eligible but not registered potential voter.
Another group is looking to add another 3% to the Dem voter pool by targeting younger and single women. They are also primarily looking to flush the urban areas.
Both groups, and several others are hurting for political talent. Right now they are being staffed up by survivors of the Edwards campaign and independent non-coordinated groups' institutional organizing capacity. Dislodging either Clinton or Obama staffers or volunteer supporters from locally developed networks has been tough at this time as there is a good deal of buy-in and faith that both campaigns will need their respective talents come July. I think that the talent drought will not have significant impact if it is resolved in the next month or so. After that, we could see SW Pa 2008 look like SW PA for Kerry --- a disorganized fiasco when the national campaign parachuted in without a clue.
The other worry that I have is that I have not heard too much about expanding outreach and mobilization efforts outside of the Democratic base areas. I think the external groups can increase the Dem voter pool by roughly 10% to 12% and the total voter pool by 6% to 7% but under what I am hearing, the voter pools will not significantly increase coattails.
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