By Fester:
Peace, prosperity, persuadable puppets and flat taxes have been achieved in Iraq.
That is the only reasonable conclusion that can be drawn from the lack of coverage of such a quiet week in Iraq. Why, almost nothing happened, I had to go digging for the following incidents:
6/24/09 Kurds are claiming Kirkuk as their own
6/24/09 Large car bomb in Sadr City kills at least 50
6/24/09 5 seperate fatal or multi-casualty incidents in Mosul
6/23/09 Kurds declare central government control over Kurdish oil reserves unconstitutional
6/21/09 9 police in Baghdad are killed in clashes
6/21/09 More fighting in Mosul
6/20/09 Large truck bomb kills at least 60 in northern Iraq
And this is only a slight bump up in violence from recent baseline but this is not an unusual week, or portion thereof. This is only an excerpt of reported incidents and fatalities. There are two hundred or so individuals who are dead in these incidents. There are massive conflicts over resource claims which are fundamentally zero sum in nature and thus prone to intense conflict and a potential stabilizer of Iranian influence may be removed as Iran may turn inwards.
And this is what 'success' looks like and it is what the COIN advocates are pointing to as a positive outcome instead of an opportunity to exit after massive ethnic cleansing, communal violence and system destabilization as well as the creation of a massive cohort of men who have plenty of experience in fighting against the United States as urban guerrillas.
So then what you're saying is that COIN works best when we pretend it isn't happening? Or, all that's needed is for there to be serious political upheaval in nations like Iran, sequentially, so that we have something newer, shinier and more exciting to stay focused on. If that happens, we can declare victory in Iraq.
ReplyDeleteLOL Lex. America's two favorite colors are "Ooooh!" and "Shiny!"
ReplyDeleteSeriously, though, that first link is bad news. The Kirkuk question is the most likely starting point for a full-on Iraqi civil war, and the Kurds haven't only said they've a right to annex Kirkuk. Their new constitution also claims "areas within Nineveh and Diyala provinces" as part of Iraqi Kurdistan. There's no way Baghdad can let that happen.
Regards, Steve