By Dave Anderson:
The Pittsburgh Rivers Casino had yet another bad week. The average take per machine was $194 per day. The original state projection anticipated slightly more than $300 per machine per day, and the casino owners were anticipating a take just north of $350 per machine per day. There has yet to be a week that has matched even the states' estimate.
AsI mentioned last week, this is a significant problem:
There is an even larger gap between reality and the casino owner's revenue projections. This is a local political problem because the casino revenue has been promised to several major projects, most notably the Penguins arena, and I think there is a chance that more revenue has been committed than that which will be achieved.
The problem may become even larger as the House and Senate Democrats as well as the Senate Republicans are counting on expanding gaming revenues to give the state budget a one time boost in the form of licensing fees and then expanded recurring revenues as table games are introduced. Governor Rendell is doubtful that their figures will approach reality, as the Post-Gazette reports:
Leaders of three legislative caucuses emerged from daylong negotiations at midnight with an agreement on a new state budget that they hope meets the governor's approval....
Mr. Rendell has said he strongly doubts that expanding taxation on prizes for "small games of chance'' will generate $100 million this fiscal year, as forecast by Senate Democrats and Republicans and House Democrats in the $27.9 billion budget proposal they unveiled Friday...
I share the concern that increasing reliance on gaming revenues growing through the combination of expanded offerings and local "recapture" of gamblers who would otherwise drive to West Virginia or Atlantic City will fail to meet most expectations. I think the combination of offering relatively undifferentiated products, shrinking disposable personal income, and even more rapidly shrinking "really, truly, disposable for entertainment purposes" income means gaming revenues will fall significantly below projections and that current gaming revenues are already over-promised.
No comments:
Post a Comment