By David Anderson:
As I noted last week, the Rivers Casino revenue should have reverted back to the non-G-20 trend this week. That trend would predict revenue of around $160 to $170 per machine per day. This week's revenue per machine per day was $162. This is less than half the casino's own public projections, and slightly more than half the state and credit rating agency projections.
At this point, revenue would have to increase and maintain $330 per day per machine to meet the state's projection. An average take of $380 per machine per day would be needed to meet the casino's projection for revenue between Aug. 3 2009 to Aug 3 2010. For some odd reason, I think those numbers are unlikely to be met.
The Tribune Review reports that the Rivers Casino is seeking flexibility on making payments to the Sports and Exhibition Authority. Rep. Jake Wheatley (D-Pittsburgh's Hill District) first wanted to deny the Gaming Control Board the authority to strip the Rivers operating license if they did not pay the arena fee on time. This is a $7.5 million dollar annual payment to the bond sinking fund for the Penguins' arena that was one of the conditions of the license. That proposal was defeated. The new proposal is to extend the payment date for the first payment to Jan. 1, 2010, an implied subsidy of $100,000 or more.
We will start to see more games like this be played for the Rivers if revenue continues to be less than half the casino's projections. The Rivers' construction bond payment for next year will eat up $122 million dollars in gross terminal revenue. After that, the construction bond will consume $167 million in gross terminal revenue. The Arena bond is a committment of another $16.7 million dollars in gross terminal revenue. These two debt obligations will consume at least half of the gross terminal revenue under my own private optimistic revenue projections, and could consume almost two thirds of all revenue under my private pessimistic projections. That means there is very little money left over to actually pay people to work or to keep the lights on. The Rivers will be begging for another hand-out soon is my bet.
Thanks for all your reporting.
ReplyDeleteI think govt supported gambling is a bad thing. I think the Lotto is a pernicious influence on politics.
We should allow casinos and gambling through zoning rules, and tax them as "non-essential businesses," at a higher corporate rate.
grocery stores, hardware, dry cleaning, car repair etc... pay one tax rate.
casinos, race tracks, strip joints, movies, maybe bars etc. get taxed at a higher rate.
maybe add other rates for business that pollute.
In no case should the govt float bonds for casinos.
Kevin --- the state of PA did not float any bonds for the casino in question. Pennsylvania is backing a bond issue for a new hockey arena in Pittsburgh. The casino is supposed to pay ~40% of the annual debt service on the arena bond issue.
ReplyDeleteThe Casino has construction bonds that it is paying for out of its share of the gross terminal revenue (revenue-payout for winners) as well as its portion of the hockey arena as well as normal operating costs. I think that sum will be much greater than revenue by the end of next summer.