By Dave Anderson:
I've been hearing quite a few things from quite a few little birdies over the past couple of days regarding Haiti. I've done my best to confirm what I can, or at least hear the same basic story from non-connected sources, but none of this is on the record yet. Everything here I rate as at least B+ reliable.
- US Navy Reserve Crane ships --- they will be the indicator of how badly damaged Port Au Prince's port facilities are. 1 or 2 activated, not bad, 3 or more, the port is worse than Malta in 1942.
- Beyond Bataan and Nassau phib goups at least one more ARG may be sent as soon as work-ups and redeployment is complete.
- Local politics is interesting. Many large municipal governments and some states in the US have significant disaster response capacity. Some of the units sent in 1st wave were sent on federal activation, but some were sent on local initiative. The local initiative units will not have their costs picked up by Uncle Sam. Those local initiative units most likely come from areas in the US with a large Haitian voting bloc.
- Refugee resettlement is on the discussion board right now. Major East Coast Metro areas, including at least NYC and Miami have been told to get ready for "temporary and long term" resettlement efforts with case management.
- Wonder what that will do to Congressional reapportionment?
- Initial trickle of Haitians are beginning to enter the US via 3rd countries (mainly Haitians who were already out of the country when the earthquake happened)
- Get ready for the remnants of the Haitian middle and professional classes to leave.
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