Commentary By Ron Beasley
Look at this graph and be afraid. It does not come from Earth First. It does not come from the Sierra Club. It was not drawn by Socialists or Nazis or Osama Bin Laden or anyone from Goldman-Sachs. If you are a Republican Tea-Partier, rest assured it does not come from a progressive Democrat. And vice versa. It was drawn by the United States Department of Energy, and the United States military's Joint Forces Command concurs with the overall picture.
The above is from The Imminent Crash Of Oil Supply: Be Afraid at Countercurrents.org.
What does it imply? The supply of the world's most essential energy
source is going off a cliff. Not in the distant future,but in a year and
a half. Production of all liquid fuels, including oil, will drop within
20 years to half what it is today. And the difference needs to be made
up with "unidentified projects," which one of the world's leading
petroleum geologists says is just a "euphemism for rank shortage," and
the world's foremost oil industry banker says is "faith based."
As I noted here we live in a complex society that owes that complexity to cheap oil. The declining supply of oil will require simplification. The question is: will we try to direct that simplification or fight it? Joseph Tainter:
When the value of complexity turns negative, a society plagued by an inability to react remains as complex as ever, right up to the moment where it becomes suddenly and dramatically simpler, which is to say right up to the moment of collapse. Collapse is simply the last remaining method of simplification.
Living things have a life cycle; they are born - live and at the end die. History has shown us that societies/civilizations too have a life cycle; they are born, becoming increasingly complex and then collapse (sudden simplification).
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