Commentary By Ron Beasley
If only Daniel Larison was the Republican Party. He has a couple of brilliant foreign policy posts today. I'll give you a a snip from each one but they really need to be read in full.
We could also draw another lesson from the growth of Iranian influence
and power following the invasion of Iraq, and this is that policies that
are supposed to increase and advance American power can be
short-sighted and counterproductive. Indeed, these policies can
ultimately produce the opposite result.
A Bright Post-Hegemonic Future
Michael
Auslin does his best to paint a picture of the dire �dimming of our
age� (via Scoblete)
that will come with gradual reduction in U.S. military presence
overseas, and the future he predicts does not seem very gloomy at all:The upshot of these three trends will likely be a series
of decisions to slowly, but irrevocably reduce America�s overseas global
military presence and limit our capacity to uphold peace and intervene
around the globe. And, as we hollow out our capabilities, China will be
fielding ever more accurate anti-ship ballistic missiles, advanced
fighter aircraft, and stealthy submarines; Russia will continue to
expand its influence over its �near abroad� while modernizing its
nuclear arsenal; and Iran will develop nuclear weapons, leading to an
arms race or preemptive attacks in the Middle East.Under such conditions, global trade flows will be stressed, the free
flow of capital will be constrained, and foreign governments will expand
their regulatory and confiscatory powers against their domestic
economies in order to fund their own military expansions.........
Too many American policymakers and policy analysts remain devoted to
restoring a degree of American preeminence that existed in 1991-92 and
will probably never come again. The reality is that we may not even see
American preeminence c. 2008, much less the way it was twenty years
ago. Our policies and our military deployments around the world have
not adjusted to this reality. Now some of our closest allies are
forcing us to come to terms with the way the world has changed.
Go read them both .
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