By Dave Anderson:
Daily Kos is highlighting some potentially good poll numbers forSenate Majority Leader Harry Reid. He is in the ballpark now instead of being blown out by three no-name Republican candidates.
According to the poll, Chicken Sue Lowden leads Reid by three, 42%-39% -- a huge drop from February when she led by a 52%-39% margin. Danny Tarkanian now leads 42%-41%, also a huge drop from his 51%-40% lead in February. And most shocking of all: Reid actually leads Sharron "Tea" Angle, 42%-39%. In February, Reid trailed 44%-42%
The margin change is impressive, but it still shows Reid in an extremely weak position. His topline number moved one point against Tarkanian, and stayed still against both Lowden and Angle. This is after the Chicken implosion by Lowden and Angle's advocating privatizing Social Security in a state which has a large number of retirees in it. Reid's only chance of holding onto his seat is to make his opponent dangerously unacceptable and risky. He is embracing the Democrat's three-fold bet for 2010:
- Discredited Republican Party will make swing voters hold their noses before voting GOP or voting at all.
- Teabagger v. Establishment Republican civil war
- Democrats would maintain the money edge
Reid will have the money edge. He is seeing the Teabagger (Angle) and Establishment (Lowden) civil war, and both candidates are embracing some of the worse failures of Bushism (slashing the social safety net and exposing individuals to more systemic risk or the full embrace of know-nothingism and prideful ignorance). And he has successfully seen people sour on his opponents without warming up to him. This is the template and the absurdist extreme of many Democratic incumbent re-election strategies this year.
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