By Dave Anderson:
The past year has been a rough year economically for my family. I was laid off at the end of the third quarter in 2009, and my wife has been working no more than 30 hours a week consistently. In the past year I have had a couple of short term gigs, but nothing permanent and nothing great paying. However, we have gotten by; indeed, we have improved our fiscal position as we have less debt and cheaper debt now than the day I was laid off. Every bill has been paid on time.
We have done that through a combination of unemployment insurance and drastic reductions in our expenditures. The easiest cutback was daycare; I have had the joy of chasing our daughter around. Our biggest home improvement project this year was either fifty dollars worth of landscaping in the backyard or sixty dollars of temporary weatherization for the windows (that will pay off in decreased heating bills in one month). At the same time, we lost health insurance for the entire family; CHIP has been a gray-hair saver as my daughter has great insurance now. My wife and I have catastrophic coverage in case a meteorite hits us.
It looks like the family economic crisis is ending. My wife has accepted a full-time position at a major local firm, and I have a 90% probability of receiving and accepting an offer from another signature Pittsburgh firm. My potential future employer's HR department is finalizing the background check and just do not like the fact that my name is too common. We are expecting a massive jump in income and more importantly, above baseline living expenses income even as baseline living expenses increase with the need for daycare starting in January.
I say this for two reasons --- if you see a crazed lunatic doing the happy dance in Pittsburgh, this is the reason. More importantly, my wife and I were significantly revising next year's family budget last night. Our basic changes were to add in my projected new income, add in the expense of another bus pass and day-care. Other than that, the vast majority of the marginal income is being dedicated to debt reduction or savings. We are intent on quickly cleaning up our balance sheet so it is clean enough for open heart surgery to be performed on it.
Atrios made a good point last week about this recession:
This has been a very very long recession and people are being economically destroyed by it. It's going to take a long time before people feel any kind of economic security again. It might be morning in America again, but people will still feel like shit.
People who feel insecure, or have recently been repeatedly kicked in the economic junk are not going to spend even if they have the income to support current expenditure. I know our family plan is to recession proof our family budget over the next eighteen months of family full-employment by paying down debt and massively increasing our liquid reserves. We'll be working hard, but deleveraging hard as well.
I have a feeling, with minimal current evidence, that the Millenials will have the same attitude towards money and debt that the Great Depression generation did --- save the cash, avoid the debt. If that happens, my family is in great shape, but we and anyone else like us are drags on growth.
I'm knocking on wood like crazy for you. And do please break a leg! There I've done my part to ward off the evil eye or any other bad juju. Oh did I mention "break a leg".
ReplyDeletegood for you... all the best...
ReplyDeleteSounds like ya'll must have been doing a lot right before the crisis came. This is a great report card. A couple of companies are getting some real winners.
ReplyDeleteI think you're right about the long impact of this recession. My parents never left the shadow of the Depression even after times got better for them. And I was so bruised by double-digit inflation in the late Seventies and early Eighties that even after inflation got under control I've been trembling lest it come again worse than before.
And we figured out years ago how beautiful a second-hand car with no payments looked in the driveway.
First off, good luck on getting that last 10%.
ReplyDeleteAs to the rest of your post, I�m with you on the long term effect this is going to have so far as behaviour towards debt and credit. What I wonder about though, is whether or not the �good times� are ever going to return for the population at large. Wages have been basically flat for the last three decades and the only thing that has been fueling the growth during that period has been the debt economy. With the majority of folks getting debt-shy, which is a good thing IMO, the only possibility for growth has to come from rising median wages. Except of course the kind of jobs that could generate such wages are the kinds that are being shipped overseas in ever greater numbers. Service industry jobs don�t drive economic growth, but they�re pretty much the only sector with growth prospects it seems. Add in Ron�s pet bugbear of peak cheap oil, for which the evidence continues to grow, and the effect that�s going to have, and the prospects for a return to real growth of the economy beyond banksters bonuses looks pretty dim indeed. Under those circumstances, I wouldn�t concern myself on being a �drag on growth�.
Add in Ron�s pet bugbear of peak cheap oil, for which the evidence continues to grow, and the effect that�s going to have, and the prospects for a return to real growth of the economy beyond banksters bonuses looks pretty dim indeed.
ReplyDeleteYou are so right BJ. The bad news is the "good old days" are never going to return. The good news is those "good old days" maybe weren't all that good and the new paradigm may not be all that bad for those who are able to survive the transition. A credit based economy requires continuous growth and that growth has been dependent on cheap liquid fuels.
Second geoff. Knocking on wood like crazy. Good luck man!
ReplyDeleteCongratulations on getting through this very tough time with your family intact, as well as your finances.
ReplyDeleteI agree with all the above, especially the peak cheap oil and the deleveraging that will, or at least should go forward from here.
Best of luck!