Commentary By Ron Beasley
Roger Simon asks a question: Shouldn't Mitt Romney be ahead by now? A good question since the economy is still in the tank. He answers his own question - people just don't like Mitt.
As I have written for years, I have a simple - OK, simple-minded - way of determining who is going to win the presidency: The more likable candidate wins. Not always, but almost always.
On Aug. 2, a survey published by the well-respected Pew Research Center for the People & the Press found Obama was leading Romney by 51-41 percent for the presidency, the eighth time in a row since January that Obama has led Romney by between 4 and 12 percentage points.
But more importantly by my Simple Simon standard of likability, Romney's favorable/unfavorable rating was 37/52 compared with Obama's 50/45. Which means Romney had a net unfavorable rating of 15 points while Obama had a net favorable of 5 points.
On Wednesday, the Washington Post and ABC News released a poll showing 40 percent of voters approving of Romney and 49 percent disapproving. When it came to Obama, 53 percent of voters approved and 43 percent disapproved.
Which gave Romney a net disapproval of 9 points and Obama a net approval of 10 points.
Two different polls don't exactly establish a solid pattern, but the Romney people must be very, very worried.
Romney said in that Des Moines auditorium, "The American people are tired of being tired."
But if the recent polls are correct, the American people also may be tired of Mitt Romney.
Romney's problem is there is not much he can do about. He is a pompous plutocratic sociopath - that's who is is and to the best of my knowledge there are no personality transplants. People simply don't like him or trust him.
The latest FOX News poll gives Obama a 9 point lead over Romney - 49 to 40.