Farewell. The Flying Pig Has Left The Building.

Steve Hynd, August 16, 2012

After four years on the Typepad site, eight years total blogging, Newshoggers is closing it's doors today. We've been coasting the last year or so, with many of us moving on to bigger projects (Hey, Eric!) or simply running out of blogging enthusiasm, and it's time to give the old flying pig a rest.

We've done okay over those eight years, although never being quite PC enough to gain wider acceptance from the partisan "party right or wrong" crowds. We like to think we moved political conversations a little, on the ever-present wish to rush to war with Iran, on the need for a real Left that isn't licking corporatist Dem boots every cycle, on America's foreign misadventures in Afghanistan and Iraq. We like to think we made a small difference while writing under that flying pig banner. We did pretty good for a bunch with no ties to big-party apparatuses or think tanks.

Those eight years of blogging will still exist. Because we're ending this typepad account, we've been archiving the typepad blog here. And the original blogger archive is still here. There will still be new content from the old 'hoggers crew too. Ron writes for The Moderate Voice, I post at The Agonist and Eric Martin's lucid foreign policy thoughts can be read at Democracy Arsenal.

I'd like to thank all our regular commenters, readers and the other bloggers who regularly linked to our posts over the years to agree or disagree. You all made writing for 'hoggers an amazingly fun and stimulating experience.

Thank you very much.

Note: This is an archive copy of Newshoggers. Most of the pictures are gone but the words are all here. There may be some occasional new content, John may do some posts and Ron will cross post some of his contributions to The Moderate Voice so check back.


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Monday, July 20, 2009

Unemployment, Housing Crisis, Insurance and Health Care Reform

By Hootsbuddy

Every day brings more reports of lost jobs. Among the many footnotes to those stories is the loss of any health insurance connected with those jobs. COBRA regulations require employers to continue insurance for eighteen months after an employee is terminated, but the employer's portion of the premium is no longer required. Consequently the cost of insurance to the person who lost his job instantly goes up, typically almost double, the same moment that his earned income vanishes.

A swelling number of real estate foreclosures and walk-aways also has a health care footnote. When a family loses a home, even if by some blessing they still have health insurance, they face a life style adjustment including the bitter choice of whether or not they can afford to continue health insurance. If the family includes children or someone with a chronic condition that choice is straightforward. Insurance for them is as important as food n the table. But for a young, healty couple or individual without health issues, health insurance is sure to fall into the "optional" list. Add one or two more to that growing list of uninsured Americans.

Congress is having a hard time reaching agreement on health care reform, but the insurance industry has noticed. This from International Insurance News was posted in April.



While it�s nice to see that government programs are stepping in to fill the gap, the problem is that its old news. It does not even begin to take into account the massive shifts brought on by the recent recession. The consequences are beginning to take a heavy toll on thehealth of the country in a myriad of ways. Since the start of the downturn in December 2007, employers have cut 5.1 million jobs. The number of people currently on continuing unemployment benefits is at 6.13 million, bringing the national unemployment rate to 8.5%. Because many people in the US receive their medical insurance through their employers, lost jobs meanslost insurance . The Kaiser Family Foundation says that a 1% increase in the unemployment rate means an increase of 1 million enrollments in Medicaid and the ChildHealth Insurance Program (CHIP), and also a 1.1 million increase in uninsured people.



This high rate of lost jobs, estimated to be as high as 14,000 jobs per day, is pushing people out of their employer-based insurance and either into a governmenthealth insurance program or, if they are too young for Medicare or simply not poor enough to qualify for Medicaid, are forced to purchase private individual health insurance plans if they would like to have health insurance at all. An investigation by Consumer Reports has found this trend to carry problems of its own.



The investigation showed that personal health insurance is regularly more expensive than the equivalent cover would be through an employer-based plan. It is often extremely expensive or completely out of reach for people of meager income and less than stellar health. Consumer protection in this area is also an issue where, once again, America demonstrates the importance of appropriate regulation by not having it. Consumer Reports found that most state insurance regulators are not charged with evaluating the coverage these products offer and most disclosure requirements are decidedly limp-wristed at best. So, trying to compare plans, figure out prior to purchase what is and is not covered, or approximately calculating the out-of-pocket liability for any serious medical procedure is nigh impossible. While affordable, these low-end personal plans often come with extensive exclusions and loopholes which often leave people in serious medical debt if they suffer a medical catastrophe.



As everyday American consumers are continuing to feel financial pressure, recent polls have shown an increasing trend to put off medical care . A poll released by Thomson Reuters this month showed that over the past year, 20% of American households have either delayed or cancelled receiving medical care. Out of those who did cancel or delay care, 24.1 attributed it to the cost. The last time this poll was administered in 2006, the number of people delaying or canceling care was at 15.9% and the main reason for delays and cancellations was lack of time. Another chilling figure from the poll was that 21% of American adults were anticipating they would have difficulties paying for either health insurance or healthcare services within the next three months.



As the financial implications on healthcare snowball for the consumers, so too does it snowball for medical practitioners. One instance of this is in North Carolina, which has the fourth highest unemployment rate in the country at 10.7%. The increasing numbers of unemployed and uninsured people have led to a remarkable increase in traffic in free or discounted clinics and also emergency rooms, where hospitals are obliged to administer treatment to everyone, insurance or no. This often means hospitals are performing millions of dollars worth of healthcare services and not seeing any money from it. On top of this, people who do have insurance and actually pay the hospitals for their services are shying away from optional procedures and surgeries which would usually help generate income to keep the hospital running. At the moment, hospitals under financial pressure from both the shrinkage of revenue generating procedures and the amount of �uncompensated care � hospitals are offering to those in need, in some cases only staying functional through infusions of federal monies from the stimulus package.


Since then there has been a lot of discussion about what is being called a "public option." What that means is still not clear, but as far as I can tell that seems to be one of the flies in the political ointment, the other being a provision in the proposed plan that is not being discussed in polite company, how Medicare reimbursement rates are for too many elected officials a kind of pork, subject to tweaking more according to political influence than regional economic variables or other considerations having to do with actual health care.

Here is a recent snip (June 24) from the Commonwealth Fund, a private foundation that aims to promote a high performing health care system that achieves better access, improved quality, and greater efficiency, particularly for society's most vulnerable, including low-income people, the uninsured, minority Americans, young children, and elderly adults.


A controversial part of the health reform debate is whether a new public insurance plan choice should be offered to the under-65 population. This report analyzes alternative paths to reform and presents estimates of impacts onhealth spending. The approaches include: 1) a public health plan paying providers at Medicare rates, offered alongside private plans in a national health insurance exchange; 2) a public plan paying providers at rates set midway between Medicare and private plan rates, offered alongside private plans in an insurance exchange; and 3) no public plan, with only private plans offered to employers and individuals through an insurance exchange. All three approaches, if combined with Medicare payment and system reform, would produce substantial savings over time, but option 1 would yield the most�$3.0 trillion in cumulativehealth system savings over 2010 to 2020, compared with $2.0 trillion (option 2) and $1.2 trillion (option 3).


In a comprehensive report, replete with charts and supporting data, the three proposals are described in some detail. The article concludes with this:



...the presence of a public plan and the payment policies that it encompasses account for most of the total health system savings and federal budget cost differences among the alternative scenarios. Differing results reflect the relative aggressiveness and effectiveness of various cost-containment strategies and the creation of a new dynamic for transforming bothhealth insurance and the provision of health care . The choice of a public plan provides a less-expensive base for expanding coverage than private plans, because a public plan would, at least initially, be paying at lower rates than private plans currently do (but at higher rates than most providers now receive for uninsured and Medicaid patients). Adoption of a public plan would also enable more rapid spread of payment reforms, since more people would be covered under plans that adopt those reforms. The public plan also achieves economies through lower insurance administrative costs. Although the outcome is difficult to predict, private plans, too, could be expected to respond to the new competitive dynamic, by partnering with integrated delivery systems to provide incentives and tools for more effective care, as well as to eliminate ineffective, avoidable, or duplicative care and achieve economies in insurance administration.



Although spending growth would slow, most providers would experience rising revenues and opportunities for shared savings, as preventable hospitalizations and greater efficiency in delivery ofcare are realized. Coverage of the uninsured and improved benefits for them would reduce bad debts and infuse new revenues into the health system in the early years, benefitting in particular the safety-net providers that now offer charity care to those who cannot pay.



At this critical juncture, the national reform debate should stay focused on the key coverage, payment, and system reforms that are necessary to put the nation on a path to high performance inhealth care . Recently, debate has centered on which direction the nation should take to move forward. However coverage is provided, reforms should ensure that everyone has the benefit of insurance plans that serve as agents for the public by pooling risk, paying for effective care, and requiring accountability for outcomes. The key issues should be how best to provide access to high-quality, affordable care for all, now and into the future. That is the goal of comprehensive health reform, and we should be careful not to lose sight of it.



All three paths described here, combined with an integrated set of payment and system reforms, would represent major steps toward the goal of covering the uninsured. But with the nation�s economic and fiscal future at risk, health reform must pay particular attention to effective strategies for altering the future course of spending for health care and increasing value obtained for the resources devoted to the health system.



There is no polite way to say it. Our economy is in the toilet and conditions are getting worse. Whatever the reasons, even with what passes for "recovery," everyone's fortune has shrunk dramatically since this time last year and there is no reason to believe that good news about recovery will soon have any meaningful impact on everyday people. Without serious and meaningful health care reform the economy is headed for an avoidable train wreck.

A health care economic disaster is already here. Cost trends for the last decade indicate that a crisis in health care costs predated the current crisis in credit, jobs and housing. Why else would all the candidates talk about addressing this crisis during their campaigns?

The moment of truth is here. The voices of opposition are becoming louder and more irrational. As Barack Obama reaches deep into his pockets, reaching into a shrinking reserve of political capital, his opponents, like jackals in a National Geographic film, wait for an opportunity to attack. Now really is the time for all good men and women to come to the aid of their country.

Calls that say "Too much, too soon" are out of order. Those who complain that they haven't had time to read the bill are blowing smoke. Hell, I'm an old guy blogging and I've had plenty of time to do my homework. Where have they had their heads for the last couple of years?

Those who point to that Republican chart making fun of the health care plan's complexity strike me as ignorant as someone looking at an electrical schematic of a household applliance with no idea what they are looking at. Just because they are too ignorant to interpret it doesn't mean that it is gibberish. Besides, when is the last time you checked a government flow chart of any kind?

We have come too far to let another health care reform proposal get defeated by Congressional carping and inertia. I'm not a gamer, but a few years ago I came across a line that works well here. It's a greener slogan than "Damn the torpedoes! Full steam ahead!"

THE AVALANCHE HAS ALREADY STARTED; IT'S TOO LATE FOR THE PEBBLES TO VOTE.



4 comments:

  1. Avalanche is a good word for it. To use another analogy, I would liken the proposed government solutions to scud missiles. For effective and sustainable reform, I think we need something closer to heat-seeking missiles. The industry should have solved its own problems by now. Because it hasn't, I suppose we deserve what the government is going to force upon us.

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  2. Uh, "industry"?
    Which industry would that be? Insurance, pharmaceuticals, medical equipment and devices, or for-profit hospitals and clinics?
    Looks to me like all those are thriving. The only places I see with problems are low-income rural and urban communities, charity hospitals and about sixty million Americans not in the club.
    Looking closer, I suggest that among the details of the proposal are the very "heat-seeking missiles" that you mentioned. That's why our elected representatives are having a hard time with this thing. They remind me of a bunch of wild animals fighting over newly killed prey. This legislation threatens to curb too many special interests (see list above).

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  3. The House Health Care Bill, 1,018-page document, released this week (July 14th, 2009) reveals some concerns as noted by http://www.dentalinsuranceutah.net and http://www.selecthealth.biz Mike Oliphant serves as health care consultant with these two popular websites in Utah. He also is a serving board member with Utah Association of Health Underwriters. A provision within this bill would indeed outlaw individual private coverage. Under the Orwellian header of "Protecting The Choice To Keep Current Coverage," the "Limitation On New Enrollment" section of the bill clearly states:
    "Except as provided in this paragraph, the individual health insurance issuer offering such coverage does not enroll any individual in such coverage if the first effective date of coverage is on or after the first day" of the year the legislation becomes law.
    This translates into those who currently have private individual coverage won't be able to change it. It is likely that those same people will suffer abnormally high rate increases over time which would force them out of coverage. Nor will those who leave a company to work for themselves be free to buy individual plans from private carriers.
    From the beginning, www.dentalinsuranceutah.net warned that if the government gets into the business of offering subsidized health insurance coverage, the private insurance market will wither. Drawn by a public option that will be 30% to 40% cheaper than their current premiums because taxpayers will be funding it, employers will gladly scrap their private plans and go with Washington's coverage. The nonpartisan Lewin Group estimated in April that 120 million or more Americans could lose their group coverage at work and end up in such a program. That would leave private carriers with 50 million or fewer customers. This could cause the market to, as Lewin Vice President John Sheils put it, "fizzle out altogether."
    What wasn't known until now is that the bill itself will kill the market for private individual coverage by not letting any new policies be written after the public option becomes law. The legislation is also likely to finish off health savings accounts, a goal that Democrats have had for years. They want to crush that alternative because nothing gives individuals more control over their medical care, and the government less, than HSAs. With HSAs out of the way, a key obstacle to the left's expansion of the welfare state will be removed.
    http://www.SelectHealth.biz states that the public option won't be an option for many, but rather a mandate for buying government care. A free people should be outraged at this advance of soft tyranny. Washington does not have the constitutional or moral authority to outlaw private markets in which parties voluntarily participate. It shouldn't be killing business opportunities, or limiting choices, or legislating major changes in Americans' lives.

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  4. "Drawn by a public option that will be 30% to 40% cheaper than their current premiums because taxpayers will be funding it, employers will gladly scrap their private plans and go with Washington's coverage."
    Imagine that. A program costing less.
    Taxes, you say? And where do you think Medicare reimbursements come from?
    I have no worry that people with enough money will be well cared for in America just as they are all over the world. Go read Dr. Wachter's piece at The Health Care Blog.
    http://www.thehealthcareblog.com/the_health_care_blog/2009/07/a-brief-history-of-the-r-word.html#more
    "...every society that rations provides a safety valve for the wealthy disaffected. In the UK, you can buy private insurance that allows you to jump the queue for your hip replacement. Canada�s safety valve is called the Cleveland Clinic. We don�t talk about the percent of our GNP we are spending on Starbucks lattes, or on iPods, or on vacations. People pay for these things out of pocket, and receive no tax advantages when doing so. Given the American ethos of self-determination and consumerism, any rationing plan will need to allow people who can afford care that isn�t covered by standard insurance to buy it with their own money (with absolutely no tax advantage). Two-tiered medicine, sure, but I see little problem with this as long as we are using the money in the communal pool to provide a reasonable set of benefits to the entire population."
    HSA's and MSA's are wonderful tax breaks for those who can afford to amass enough to maintain them and the financial institutions who service them. But for the bulk of uninsured Americans who live paycheck to paycheck they are about as worthless as free tickets to a glamorous vacation they can't afford.
    Your "soft tyranny" is what I see as a reasonable safety net. It's like the difference between Social Security and individual security. (Social security is for those below the payroll tax cap. They contribute whatever they can from their first earned dollar. Individual security takes the form of IRA's, Keoghs, 401-k's and the like... beyond the imagination or income of the working poor.) We have no medical equivalent of Social Security in America. To those at the bottom the message is simple: drop dead.

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