By Steve Hynd
What, is it Jumping The Shark week for the Obama administration? Yesterday we had Holbrooke compare the Afghanistan occupation to pornography, saying he couldn't say what success would look like but "We'll know it when we see it." Today, we have Bob Gates admitting he's mystified as to how long the U.S. will be enmired there.
�In the intelligence business, we always used to categorize information � in two ways: secrets and mysteries,� the former CIA boss told a briefing Thursday.
The secrets were things that were ultimately knowable,� Gates said. �The mysteries were those where there were too many variables to predict.�
Yup, you guessed it. How long U.S. forces will be in Afghanistan falls into the mysteries category.
... How long that takes will depend on the Afghan political environment and on how long it takes to train the country�s security forces, Gates said.
Therein lies the mystery.
The ghost of Rummie strikes again!
As we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns - the ones we don't know we don't know.
Gates might be mystified but the next head of the British Army says that it will take up to forty years!
During the Vietnam war a general was quoted as saying it's a lousy war but it's the only one we've got. The problem remains that war is necessary for the military industrial complex to maintain power amd make lots of money. See this post. Winning and losing are not the issue - it's war for war's sake. But as I pointed out here it can't be maintained forever.
ReplyDelete