By Dave Anderson:
Gambling was supposed to save everything in Allegheny County; the Penguins, the city and county general operating budgets, the libraries, the school budget and the cats stuck in a tree when the fire department is too drunk too rescue it. Whoops. Even after a few good weeks during the Christmas holidays when everyone needed to get out of the house and away from their family, gambling revenue has fallen back to trend levels at less than half of the state's projection and significantly less than the very optimistic projections made by the owners.
The Tribune Review reports that the Pittsburgh Rivers Casino is being assessed at a shade under $200 million dollars. Assuming normal millage rates for the city of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh Public Schools and Allegheny County are applied against this property and that this assessment stands, this is a cash flow of approximately $6 million dollars per year split between the three entities.
The property tax bill is an additional fixed cost to a project that is on the verge of being sunk by fixed costs. The casino has construction bond payments of $55 million dollars this year and $75 million dollars next year. The casino has also committed to a $7.5 million dollar payment for the Penguins arena, and now it has a $6 million dollar property tax bill. For the first operating year, it has ~$69 million dollars in fixed costs that must be paid before the electrical bill or the first hour of wages is covered. The fixed costs alone consume $154 million dollars in gross terminal revenue.
Just doing a straight line approximation of current revenue, the casino is projected to make approximately$162 million dollars in gross terminal revenue in its first full year of operation. If this approximation is even remotely close to accurate, fixed expenses consume close to 95% of all revenue generated by the casino. That is not a sustainable business model.
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