By Steve Hynd
The neocon Hudson Institute's Anna Mahjar-Barducci has a particularly lurid account of Teh Threat from Iran to the Continental U.S.A. today - supposedly thanks to some help from Chavez in building a forward missile base in Venezuela.
Oh noes!!!!eleventy!!!1
The trouble is, even if it were all true - and she's basing it entirely off a single report in Germany's Die Welt newspaper which itself is partially sourced from a paper out of the necon American Enterprise Institute - the distances don't add up to a direct missile threat to the U.S.
It's about 2,200 KM from venezuela to Florida and about 3,800 to Texas. The Iranian Shabab-3 missile only has a maximum range of 1,500km.
The Hudson shill mentions an IISS study which talks about an "already existing solid-fuel, medium-range missile that can carry a nuke to hit regional targets" (her words, not those of the IISS) with a longer range. However, a quick look at the IISS piece shows it is entirely based upon a N.Y. Times report which has already been discredited - those missiles don't actually exist.
Ms Mahjar-Barducci is from Morocco and seems to have suddenly morphed from a regional expert on Northern Africa and the Middle east to a regional expert on Latin America sometime in March. Perhaps she should have stuck with her old beat - or at least consulted one of the many online "distance checkers" and some online sources before getting in such a tizzy.
Even so, the right wing continues to eat this stuff up without doing any fact-checking itself.
It is 1881 km to Key West from Venezuela and the Iranian Ghadr-110 medium range ballistic missile (nothing says it has to be the Shahab 3) has a range of 2,500 to 3,000 km.
ReplyDeleteHi McQ,
ReplyDeleteThat's a wild over-estimate. The Iranians themselves cite a range of 1800km for the Ghadr-110, without payload, and most experts agree with that. It's max range fully laden is only 1300km.
Oh, and did you notice ground isn't even reportedly broken on this base yet? Die Welt's report, even if true, says construction won't even begin until well into 2011.
Regards, Steve